ValueLens Investability Score

55
Mixed Signals
Valuation 25
45% weight
Financial Health 72
20% weight
Earnings Power 95
20% weight
Competitive Moat 84
10% weight
Shareholder Alignment 34
5% weight
Holding it back: Premium to intrinsic value (Valuation), Insider transactions (Shareholder Alignment), Shareholder yield (Shareholder Alignment)

Overview

$531.33
$532.60
$3.97T
30.75x
0.67%
Technology
NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET
US

Microsoft Corporation is an American multinational technology conglomerate headquartered in Redmond, Washington. The company became influential in the rise of personal computers through software like Windows and has since expanded into areas such as Internet services, cloud computing, artificial intelligence and video gaming among others. A Big Tech company, Microsoft is the largest software company by revenue, one of the most valuable public companies, and one of the most valuable brands globally.

Ben Graham Analysis

WEAK (2/7)

Stock passes only 2 of 7 Graham criteria. Limited margin of safety. Requires deep conviction or special situation rationale.

✗ Expensive (> 25)
30.75
Graham preferred P/E below 15 for defensive investors
✗ Risky
Earnings Yield: 3.25%
AAA Bond Yield: 5.98%
Gap: -2.73%
Safe if earnings yield exceeds bond yield by 25%+
✗ Trading above by 249.1%
Graham Number: $152.18
Current Price: $531.33
Book Value/Share: 59.56
Margin: -249.1%
Graham Number = √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). Buy when price is well below this number.
~ Modest dividend
0.67%
Graham favored dividend-paying stocks for stability
Data Unavailable
NCAV could not be calculated — SEC filing data is not available for this stock. This may occur for international companies or newly listed stocks.
✗ Weak (1.0–1.5)
1.23x
Current Assets ÷ Current Liabilities. Graham required ≥ 2.0 for defensive investors — ensures the company can comfortably cover short-term obligations.
✓ Conservative (< 0.5)
0.24x
Total Debt ÷ Total Equity. Graham favored companies with low leverage. Below 0.5 is conservative; above 2.0 signals significant risk.
✓ Positive growth & earnings
TTM EPS: $17.95
5-Year EPS Growth: 17.38%
Graham required 10+ consecutive years of positive earnings. Consistent, growing earnings signal durable competitive advantage.

⚠ Risk Factors

  • Earnings yield not sufficiently above bond yield
  • Stock price exceeds Graham Number — may be overvalued
  • High P/E ratio suggests premium valuation
  • Current ratio below Graham's 2.0 threshold

About this analysis: Based on Benjamin Graham's margin of safety principles from The Intelligent Investor and Security Analysis. A positive margin of safety indicates the stock may be trading below its estimated intrinsic value.

Financial Health & Signals

Piotroski F-Score, Owner Earnings, Earnings Quality, and Shareholder Yield

Piotroski F-Score

3/4

Poor financial health signals. Proceed with caution.

— Positive ROA Data not available
✓ Positive Operating Cash Flow OCF = $182.9B
— ROA Improving Data not available
✓ Cash Flow > Net Income Quality earnings — cash flow backs up reported profits
✓ Leverage Decreasing LT Debt: $40.2B → $0
— Current Ratio Improving Data not available
— No Share Dilution Data not available
✗ Gross Margin Improving 68.8% → 67.9%
— Asset Turnover Improving Data not available
Joseph Piotroski's 9-point scoring system for financial strength. Scores of 8–9 signal strong fundamentals; 0–3 suggest weakness.

Owner Earnings (2026)

$38.4B
Net Income $133.7B + D&A $0 − CapEx $115.9B
Buffett's preferred measure: Net Income + Depreciation − CapEx. More honest than reported earnings for capital-intensive businesses.

Earnings Quality (2026)

1.37x OCF / Net Income

Cash flow meaningfully exceeds reported earnings — high quality.

Shareholder Yield (2026)

1.18%
Dividends $26.4B Buybacks $20.3B

Moderate — some capital return.

Dividends + net buybacks as % of market cap — the total cash return to shareholders.

Historical Valuation

Where the current valuation sits within its own 5-year range

P/E 29.5x
20.7x 49% of range 38.5x
P/B 6.3x
6.3x 0% of range 15.8x

How to read this: These gauges show where the current P/E and P/B ratios fall between their own 5-year low and high (0% = at the low, 100% = at the high). A position near the low end suggests the stock is historically cheap on that metric; near the high end suggests it's historically expensive. Compare with the company's growth trajectory to determine if the valuation is justified.

Margin of Safety Target Price

Set your desired margin of safety to calculate a target buy price

$269.19
Normalized EPS $17.95 × 15x P/E
$531.33
97.4% above intrinsic
—
Adjust the slider below
0% Margin of Safety: 25% 50%
No margin 15% 25% 33% 50%
29.47x
15x
17.38%

How to use this: The intrinsic value is calculated as Normalized EPS × a fair P/E of 15 (Graham's benchmark for a conservatively valued company). Slide to apply your desired margin of safety — Graham recommended at least 25–33% — and the target buy price will update. Only consider buying when the market price falls to or below your target.

Reverse DCF Calculator

What growth rate is the market pricing in?

Market-Implied Growth Rate
21.48% HIGH

The market expects strong growth. The stock may be fairly valued if the company delivers, but there is limited room for disappointment.

$9.03
$67.5B
9.89%
5% 10% 15% 20%
3.0%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
10 years
3 5 10 15 20
Implied Growth Rate — Sensitivity to Discount Rate & Terminal Growth

How to read this: A reverse DCF works backwards from the current stock price to reveal what annual FCF growth rate the market is implicitly assuming. Compare this implied rate against the company's historical growth and your own expectations — if the market expects more growth than you think is realistic, the stock may be overvalued.

ROIC vs. WACC

Return on Invested Capital versus Weighted Average Cost of Capital

✦
Value Creator — ROIC (24.35%) exceeds WACC (9.89%). The company earns more than its cost of capital, and has done so consistently over the past 5 years.
Beta1.06
Cost of Equity10.82%
Cost of Debt7.48%
Effective Tax Rate19.4%
Equity Weight80.5%
Debt Weight19.5%

How to read this: ROIC measures how efficiently a company turns invested capital into profits. WACC is the minimum return investors demand. When ROIC consistently exceeds WACC, management is creating value — a hallmark of a durable competitive advantage (moat). A declining ROIC trending toward WACC may signal moat erosion.

Capital Allocation

How the company has deployed its cash over 5 years

Dividends Share Buybacks Acquisitions CapEx

How to read this: This chart shows how the company allocated capital each fiscal year across four categories. Companies that consistently invest in CapEx and return cash via dividends often signal durable competitive advantages. Heavy share buybacks at elevated valuations can destroy shareholder value.

7 Powers Analysis

Hamilton Helmer's strategic moat framework applied to Microsoft Corporation (Technology)

🏰
Wide Moat (Quantitative Only)
5 of 5 measurable powers show strength. Multiple reinforcing competitive advantages detected.
📐 Scale Economies Strong
📊 Quantitative Strong

Operating margin moved from 42.0% to 46.7% over 4 years (+4.7pp).

🤖 Qualitative —

Awaiting AI analysis

🌐 Network Effects N/A
📊 Quantitative N/A

Requires non-financial data (user counts, engagement metrics) not available in SEC filings.

🤖 Qualitative —

Awaiting AI analysis

♟️ Counter-Positioning N/A
📊 Quantitative N/A

Requires identifying a specific incumbent competitor for comparison — a qualitative judgment.

🤖 Qualitative —

Awaiting AI analysis

🔒 Switching Costs Strong
📊 Quantitative Strong

Gross margin volatility 0.6pp (avg 68.8%) with 14.6% 5Y revenue growth.

🤖 Qualitative —

Awaiting AI analysis

👑 Branding Moderate
📊 Quantitative Moderate

Gross margin 67.9% vs peers median 75% (0.91x). Inventory turnover 91.1x — strong brand pull.

🤖 Qualitative —

Awaiting AI analysis

💎 Cornered Resource Strong
📊 Quantitative Strong

ROA 17.6% vs peers median 7% (2.7x).

🤖 Qualitative —

Awaiting AI analysis

⚙️ Process Power Strong
📊 Quantitative Strong

Avg ROIC 26.3% vs WACC 9.9% (alpha +16.4pp, σ 2.8pp).

🤖 Qualitative —

Awaiting AI analysis

Loading AI qualitative analysis...

How to read this: The 7 Powers framework (Hamilton Helmer) identifies seven empirical sources of lasting business value. Each power shows both a quantitative score (from financial data) and a qualitative score (from AI analysis). The combined signal per power takes the more conservative of the two. Network Effects and Counter-Positioning can only be assessed qualitatively. When AI analysis is available, the overall moat signal reflects all 7 powers combined.

Insider Transactions

Open-market purchases and sales by company insiders (past 12 months)

▼
Bearish — Insiders are net sellers — 7 seller(s) vs 1 buyer(s). (1 buys, 28 sells)
Date Insider Type Shares Price
2026-10-13 Amy Hood Sell 991 $546.51
2026-10-13 Amy Hood Sell 2,927 $545.77
2026-10-13 Amy Hood Sell 3,387 $544.80
2026-09-14 Amy Hood Sell 3,942 $500.78
2026-09-14 Amy Hood Sell 8,834 $500.11
2026-02-18 John W. Stanton Buy 5,000 $397.35

How to read this: Insider buying on the open market is one of the strongest bullish signals — executives are spending their own money because they believe the stock is undervalued. Selling alone is less informative (insiders sell for many reasons), but heavy selling by multiple insiders can signal caution.