ValueLens Investability Score

59
Mixed Signals
Valuation 22
35% weight
Financial Health 69
25% weight
Earnings Power 84
20% weight
Competitive Moat 100
15% weight
Shareholder Alignment 41
5% weight
Holding it back: Premium to intrinsic value (Valuation), Insider transactions (Shareholder Alignment), High P/E vs. peers (Valuation)

Overview

$312.53
$311.23
$4603.31B
37.79x
0.34%
Technology
NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET
US

Apple Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Cupertino, California, in Silicon Valley, and known for consumer electronics, software and online services. Founded in 1976 as Apple Computer Company by Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak and Ronald Wayne, the company was incorporated by Jobs and Wozniak as Apple Computer, Inc. the following year. Its name was changed to its current one in 2007 as the company expanded its focus from computers to consumer electronics. Apple is one of the Big Tech companies.

Ben Graham Analysis

HIGH RISK (1/7)

Stock passes only 1 of 7 Graham criteria. Multiple risk factors detected. Does not meet Graham's margin of safety requirements.

✗ Expensive (> 25)
37.79
Graham preferred P/E below 15 for defensive investors
✗ Risky
Earnings Yield: 2.65%
AAA Bond Yield: 5.49%
Gap: -2.84%
Safe if earnings yield exceeds bond yield by 25%+
✗ Trading above by 750.3%
Graham Number: $36.76
Current Price: $312.53
Book Value/Share: 7.26
Margin: -750.3%
Graham Number = √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). Buy when price is well below this number.
~ Modest dividend
0.34%
Graham favored dividend-paying stocks for stability
✗ Negative NCAV
NCAV: -$137.6B
NCAV per Share: $-9.34
Total liabilities exceed current assets. Negative NCAV is common for large, established companies — the net-net strategy targets small, undervalued firms.
✗ Weak (1.0–1.5)
1.07x
Current Assets ÷ Current Liabilities. Graham required ≥ 2.0 for defensive investors — ensures the company can comfortably cover short-term obligations.
~ Moderate (0.5–1.0)
0.8x
Total Debt ÷ Total Equity. Graham favored companies with low leverage. Below 0.5 is conservative; above 2.0 signals significant risk.
✓ Positive growth & earnings
TTM EPS: $8.27
5-Year EPS Growth: 17.91%
Graham required 10+ consecutive years of positive earnings. Consistent, growing earnings signal durable competitive advantage.

⚠ Risk Factors

  • Earnings yield not sufficiently above bond yield
  • Stock price exceeds Graham Number — may be overvalued
  • High P/E ratio suggests premium valuation
  • Current ratio below Graham's 2.0 threshold

About this analysis: Based on Benjamin Graham's margin of safety principles from The Intelligent Investor and Security Analysis. A positive margin of safety indicates the stock may be trading below its estimated intrinsic value.

Financial Health & Signals

Piotroski F-Score, Owner Earnings, Earnings Quality, and Shareholder Yield

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Excellent financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency.

Positive ROA ROA = 31.2%
Positive Operating Cash Flow OCF = $111.5B
ROA Improving 25.7% → 31.2%
Cash Flow > Net Income Earnings may rely on accruals rather than cash
Leverage Decreasing LT Debt: $85.8B → $78.3B
Current Ratio Improving 0.87x → 0.89x
No Share Dilution Share count stable or decreasing
Gross Margin Improving 46.2% → 46.9%
Asset Turnover Improving 1.07x → 1.16x
Joseph Piotroski's 9-point scoring system for financial strength. Scores of 8–9 signal strong fundamentals; 0–3 suggest weakness.

Owner Earnings (2025)

$99.9B
Net Income $112.0B + D&A $11.7B − CapEx $12.7B
Buffett's preferred measure: Net Income + Depreciation − CapEx. More honest than reported earnings for capital-intensive businesses.

Earnings Quality (2025)

1.0x OCF / Net Income

Cash flow roughly in line with earnings — normal quality.

Shareholder Yield (2025)

2.31%
Dividends $15.4B Buybacks $90.7B

Moderate — some capital return.

Dividends + net buybacks as % of market cap — the total cash return to shareholders.

Historical Valuation

Where the current valuation sits within its own 5-year range

P/E 37.3x
24.1x 98th percentile 37.6x
P/B 34.0x
34.0x 0th percentile 61.8x

How to read this: These gauges show where the current P/E and P/B ratios fall within their own -year range. A low percentile suggests the stock is historically cheap on that metric; a high percentile suggests it's historically expensive. Compare with the company's growth trajectory to determine if the valuation is justified.

Margin of Safety Target Price

Set your desired margin of safety to calculate a target buy price

$111.97
Normalized EPS $7.46 × 15x P/E
$312.53
179.1% above intrinsic
Adjust the slider below
0% Margin of Safety: 25% 50%
No margin 15% 25% 33% 50%
37.35x
15x
17.91%

How to use this: The intrinsic value is calculated as Normalized EPS × a fair P/E of 15 (Graham's benchmark for a conservatively valued company). Slide to apply your desired margin of safety — Graham recommended at least 25–33% — and the target buy price will update. Only consider buying when the market price falls to or below your target.

Reverse DCF Calculator

What growth rate is the market pricing in?

Market-Implied Growth Rate
15.78% HIGH

The market expects strong growth. The stock may be fairly valued if the company delivers, but there is limited room for disappointment.

$8.82
$129.9B
10.41%
5% 10% 15% 20%
3.0%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
10 years
3 5 10 15 20
Implied Growth Rate — Sensitivity to Discount Rate & Terminal Growth

How to read this: A reverse DCF works backwards from the current stock price to reveal what annual FCF growth rate the market is implicitly assuming. Compare this implied rate against the company's historical growth and your own expectations — if the market expects more growth than you think is realistic, the stock may be overvalued.

ROIC vs. WACC

Return on Invested Capital versus Weighted Average Cost of Capital

Value Creator — ROIC (64.51%) exceeds WACC (10.41%). The company earns more than its cost of capital, and has done so consistently over the past 5 years.
Beta1.09
Cost of Equity10.49%
Cost of Debt6.99%
Effective Tax Rate15.6%
Equity Weight98.3%
Debt Weight1.7%

How to read this: ROIC measures how efficiently a company turns invested capital into profits. WACC is the minimum return investors demand. When ROIC consistently exceeds WACC, management is creating value — a hallmark of a durable competitive advantage (moat). A declining ROIC trending toward WACC may signal moat erosion.

Capital Allocation

How the company has deployed its cash over 5 years

Dividends Share Buybacks Acquisitions CapEx

How to read this: This chart shows how the company allocated capital each fiscal year across four categories. Companies that consistently invest in CapEx and return cash via dividends often signal durable competitive advantages. Heavy share buybacks at elevated valuations can destroy shareholder value.

7 Powers Analysis

Hamilton Helmer's strategic moat framework applied to Apple Inc (Technology)

🏰
Wide Moat (Quantitative Only)
5 of 5 measurable powers show strength. Multiple reinforcing competitive advantages detected.
📐 Scale Economies Moderate
📊 Quantitative Moderate

Operating margin moved from 29.8% to 32.0% over 5 years (+2.2pp).

🤖 Qualitative

Awaiting AI analysis

🌐 Network Effects N/A
📊 Quantitative N/A

Requires non-financial data (user counts, engagement metrics) not available in SEC filings.

🤖 Qualitative

Awaiting AI analysis

♟️ Counter-Positioning N/A
📊 Quantitative N/A

Requires identifying a specific incumbent competitor for comparison — a qualitative judgment.

🤖 Qualitative

Awaiting AI analysis

🔒 Switching Costs Strong
📊 Quantitative Strong

Gross margin volatility 1.9pp (avg 44.5%) with 8.7% 5Y revenue growth.

🤖 Qualitative

Awaiting AI analysis

👑 Branding Strong
📊 Quantitative Strong

Gross margin 46.9% vs peers median 30% (1.55x). Inventory turnover 34.0x — strong brand pull.

🤖 Qualitative

Awaiting AI analysis

💎 Cornered Resource Strong
📊 Quantitative Strong

Tangible ROA 31.2% vs peers median 6% (5.3x).

🤖 Qualitative

Awaiting AI analysis

⚙️ Process Power Strong
📊 Quantitative Strong

Avg ROIC 57.1% vs WACC 10.4% (alpha +46.7pp, σ 4.6pp).

🤖 Qualitative

Awaiting AI analysis

Loading AI qualitative analysis...

How to read this: The 7 Powers framework (Hamilton Helmer) identifies seven empirical sources of lasting business value. Each power shows both a quantitative score (from financial data) and a qualitative score (from AI analysis). The combined signal per power takes the more conservative of the two. Network Effects and Counter-Positioning can only be assessed qualitatively. When AI analysis is available, the overall moat signal reflects all 7 powers combined.

Insider Transactions

Open-market purchases and sales by company insiders (past 12 months)

Bearish — Insiders are net sellers — 7 seller(s) vs 0 buyer(s). (0 buys, 30 sells)
Date Insider Type Shares Price
2026-05-27 Arthur D. Levinson Sell 50,000 $311.02
2026-05-08 Ben Borders Sell 1,274 $290.00
2026-05-06 Arthur D. Levinson Sell 100,473 $285.04
2026-05-06 Arthur D. Levinson Sell 149,527 $284.57
2026-04-23 Kevan Parekh Sell 1,534 $275.00

How to read this: Insider buying on the open market is one of the strongest bullish signals — executives are spending their own money because they believe the stock is undervalued. Selling alone is less informative (insiders sell for many reasons), but heavy selling by multiple insiders can signal caution.